I'm not a pollster and my insight about the 2010 Kentucky Senatorial race is not scientific, but I'm here to tell you that this race is not in the bag for Democrats. The dynamics of this race changed last week when Rand Paul announced on the Rachel Maddow Show the formation of an exploratory committee for a US Senate run, here in Kentucky.
So how do I come to that conclusion? It's simple, very simple. I uploaded the video of Rand Paul's announcement to Youtube and that video has had more views and comments than the videos, I recently shot and uploaded of Jack Conway and Daniel Mongiardo combined. I know this is not scientific, but it shows there's real interest in Rand Paul and his ability to cross party lines. There were many other videos uploaded of Rand Paul making his announcement including this one that has nearly 9000 views, now that's what I call real interest in a candidate.
Rand Paul has indicated he will not run in a primary against Senator Jim Bunning, but who's to say Jim Bunning is really going to run? Further more, Rand Paul may change his mind.
I suggest Rand Paul will run in the primary whether Jim Bunning runs or not. I've talked to a number of Kentucky Republicans and they all tell me Rand Paul is the perfect Republican candidate for Kentucky and he would win a primary contest hands down, even if the primary included Trey Grayson and Jim Bunning. Republicans are also excited about Rand Paul's potential to tap into his dad's, Ron Paul's, national donor base.
If the Kentucky Democratic Party thinks the Republicans are going to sit back and hand us this Senate seat, we will lose. If Jack Conway And Daniel Mongiardo, get into a hotly debated and costly primary, our chances of capturing this senate seat will be put in jeopardy.
We have a real chance as Democrats to make a difference, not only for Kentucky, but for America. I hope we're up to the task!